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Online Voter Registration

The Texas Legislature is considering online voter registration legislation - SB 315 by Sen. Uresti (D-San Antonio). The bill passed the Senate on April 23rd (21-10) and is now in the House, where they have until May 26th to send it on to the Governor. If it becomes law, voters with a valid driver’s license or identification card can register online.

There are currently 18 states who have passed online registration legislation, and another 15 states are considering it - including Texas (Source). Arizona was the first state to adopt online registration in 2002, and their Secretary of State says that over 70 percent of voter registrations are completed online.

You can read more about Arizona and Washington’s online voter registration program here [pdf].

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The Fund for Jobs and Growth - a Washington D.C. super PAC - is suing New Jersey’s Election Law Enforcement Commission (ELEC) to allow the group raise unlimited funds based on the Citizens United decision. In March, the ELEC ruled that the Fund could not receive unlimited contributions from individuals if there purpose is make independent expenditures to influence New Jersey elections. This is the third ruling dealing with independent expenditures, and in the prior rulings, the ELEC determined that the groups did not have a “major purpose” of influencing New Jersey elections (Source). New Jersey has not allowed super PACs to raise unlimited funds, and thus, the Fund is challenging the constitutionality of the state’s requirement that the Fund register and abide by contribution limits.

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Colorado’s Election Law Changes

Colorado is considering changes to it’s election laws, including same-day registration, mailing ballots to all registered voters, and removing the “inactive voter” label (applied to voters who do not vote in the prior election). This bill, which has not been introduced yet, comes after large increases in the state’s voter registration and mail ballot returns. County clerks reported that 74 percent of Colorado voters returned mail ballots during the 2012 election. That figure alone suggests changes in conducting future Colorado campaigns; chasing mail ballots will be a much more important factor in campaigns.

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Some South Carolina Republicans are seeking a party rule change to prevent Democrats and RINOs (Republicans In Name Only) from participating in the state’s nominating process, which is currently an open primary - meaning anyone can participate. The change would allow the GOP nominees to be chosen at the state convention rather than through a primary. The rule is necessary - according to its proponents - to ensure that true conservatives are chosen as their nominees. The rule change would certainly doom the interest in, and importance of (alleged), South Carolina as the first Southern primary, as the rule change opponents allege. Of course, this isn’t important to the proponents as maintaining ideological purity. They’ll need 75 percent of the state convention delegates to approve the rule change for it to be effective. If it is approved, the reaction from the RNC and the state parties should be interesting.

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Last November, I discussed AZ’s rejection of a top two primary and made the following comment about California’s new primary system:

My guess is that you’re not going to see much moderation as a result of this system.

Well that guess is apparently correct. The folks over at Monkey Cage did with California what I had not done with Louisiana, i.e., look at the ideology of the candidates in connection with the election outcomes. They found that the top two primary did not have a moderating influence on candidates. The primary issue seemed to be that voters did not distinguish between centrists candidates and more extreme candidates, often rating them the same on an ideological scale. In other cases, voters did not try to locate the centrists, instead relying on their own partisanship to make their decision.

Perhaps open primaries could work in correlation with other reforms, as well as an educated electorate; however, they do not provide greater moderation on their own.

See also: Security Blanket Primaries

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RNC’s New Primary Recommendations

The RNC’s Growth and Opportunity Project report’s primary process recommendations have drawn my interest. Particularly, the prospect of an earlier convention and how that will affect the primaries. The RNC wants the convention to be held in late June, early July - “allowing our nominee more time to begin the general election phase.” This will necessitate chances in some state laws, such as Texas’. In addition, the RNC insists the eventual nominee will still need 60-90 days to prepare for the convention, making the last primary date April 30th or May 15th. So, everyone must move up their primary date. However, they still maintain the special status of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and S. Carolina - anyone going before them would presumably be penalized.

Frontloading HQ has a great review of the recommendations: Thoughts on the Growth and Opportunity Project Recommendations

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Reflections on the Conclave

The conclave has chosen Pope Francis (formerly Cardinal Jorge Mario Bergoglio) to succeed Benedict XVI. Zenit has a profile of Pope Francis. He is a conservative, as was always the likely choice. However, he is not from the Curia, which could be a sign that some reforms are coming. And according to a profile in the National Catholic Reporter, he is a critic of “clerical privilege.” Also, at age 76, he is 2 years younger than Benedict XVi when he was chosen in 2005. This begs the question of how long he may be able to serve, and if Benedict’s resignation may be repeated.

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It’s Official: George P Has Decided

The speculation can end. George P. Bush is running for Land Commissioner (Sources: CNN, Dallas Morning News, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post). I honestly can’t remember a Land Commissioner race getting this much national attention (which would be any).

This office isn’t exactly known as a launching pad for higher office, but it’s going to be an open seat that will probably not see much competition in the primary. The only commissioner since 1900 to successfully achieve higher office was David Dewhurst (elected Lt. Gov. in 2002); a couple others tried and failed. The current occupant - Jerry Patterson - is planning to run for Lt. Gov. in 2014.

You can check out his website and announcement video here.

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Nice infographic from the Wall Street Journal about the conclave.

Nice infographic from the Wall Street Journal about the conclave.

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I’ve had this article about ballot design in my queue for about a month, and I finally got around to reading it. Very interesting read that explains why ballot design in the U.S. is so complex.

  1. Local control: There is no national ballot design. Instead ballot design is left to the plethora of local government entities who control elections.
  2. Voting machines: There are as many different types of voting machines as there are ballot designs and aren’t really conducive to a simple ballot design.
  3. Referendums: Ballot design is further complicated by referendum questions, which are often not written in an understandable manner.
  4. Electoral Complexity: The number of offices, as well as the explanations for them, e.g., Presidential electors, makes ballot design difficult.
  5. Languages: Because of the diversity of the U.S. population, our ballots often have multiple languages.

None of these issues offers easy solutions, because in some cases, such as with language, they exist for a good reason. Still, it helps to understand the issue.