February 2012
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Early Voting in Michigan
February 26, 2012:
In the Arizona survey, ARG asked for voter preference by early vote. Among those surveyed, 48 percent had already voted, and among those early voters, Romney lead Santorum 50 to 29 percent. If that can be generalized statewide, then I think early voting may once again have helped Romney, and we will find out on Tuesday.
That was the news from the American Research...
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The GOP Race: AZ & MI - Updated
February 20, 2012:
Two new polls are out from Public Policy Polling: one for Arizona and one for Michigan.
Both show the race narrowing in those two states, but in opposite directions. In Arizona, Romney’s lead is 3 points over Santorum (Source). In Michigan, Santorum’s lead is now only 4 points over Romney (Source
Reblogging this old post on the Public Policy Polling surveys from last week...
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Super PACs Out Raised by Party Committees
The six party committees - DNC, DSCC, DCCC, RNC, RSCC and RCCC - raised a combined $404 million in 2011 compared to $86 million combined by Democrat and Republican affiliated Super PACs (Source). The study was conducted by the Campaign Finance Institute, and you can view the tables showing the historical rates of fundraising here.
The Democratic National Committee has raised more than the...
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Santorum's Lead and Early Voting
Earlier this week, I posted about Santorum’s lead both nationally and in Michigan. Now he leading in Ohio [3/6] and in 2nd in Arizona [2/28].
As I noted before the Florida primary, early voting is something to keep in mind before we get all giddy about Romney going down in flames. If I’m reading the statute right, Michigan voters could begin requesting absentee ballots 75 days before...
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The Death of Football? →
Tyler Cowen and Kevin Grier discuss the possible ways in which the NFL, and perhaps football in general, may come to an end through liability suits: players begin to win judgments and insurance companies no longer insure colleges and high schools against football related suits. They argue that this could take years, but could happen nonetheless. They then go on to discuss what an United States...
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Romney Wins CPAC Straw Poll →
Romney won the straw poll with 38 percent of the vote; Santorum came in 2nd (31%), and last year’s winner - Ron Paul - came in 4th (12%).
Not sure this is the best thing for Romney; he won the CPAC straw poll in 2007, 2008 and 2009 and lost the GOP nomination. Perhaps the campaign hopes it’ll help with movement conservatives in the upcoming primary states, but more likely the vast...
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Twenty Percent of Rs might vote D? →
I saw this poll posted a forum the other day, and I scratched my head a little when I saw it. I pretty much take any thing from World Net Daily with large doses of salt, because - well, I don’t think I really have to explain that do I?
The poll was conducted by Wenzel Strategies, who did not post any information about the poll on their website unfortunately.
The last head-to-head poll...
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Race, Politics, and Christianity in the American... →
So what caused the US political map to flip-flop in a mere eight years? What happened to cause the Southern states, proudly Blue and Democrat since the Civil War, to flip to Republican Red?
Why are the Red States Red?
What happened between 1956 and 1964?
Answer: The American Civil Rights Movement.
Actually, income growth and increases in wealth happened:
The Myth of the Southern Strategy
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Book Review: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
I finished reading John Le Carre’s novel last night, and it was a great read. Definitely helped take my mind off politics and work on some much needed occasions. In the Penguin edition I read, there is a brief introduction where Le Carre describes the background for his book in the treachery of Kim Philby and George Blake. There are at least two other Le Carre novels involving George Smiley...
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Illegal Voters In Florida? →
This investigative report purports to have found at least 100 hundred illegal voters - some of whom have voted in recent elections. The report did not reveal in which elections they voted. However, some of these people claim they did not know how they became registered votes.
Part of this problem could be solved by regularly checking and cleaning up the voting rolls. If you remember the story...