I guess I didn’t even bother with an overview last year (at least I couldn’t find it in my archives), but I’m pretty pumped this season:
Charlie Strong has brought some absolutely necessary changes to the culture of the program, especially after what we’ve seen the last 4 years. I’m especially looking forward to the changes on defense now that Manny Diaz is gone after spending all of last season getting paid to do nothing (which technically he did in the couple of preceding years as well).
Texas finished the 2013 season 8-5, including a loss to Oregon in the Alamo Bowl. I’m optimistic and expecting a better record this season lead by better defensive play. I think there will definitely be wins against North Texas, Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia and TCU.
BYU will set the tone for the season, as it did last year (mainly because last year Manny Diaz’s defense was completely exposed by a QB with a bum knee). I expect the Longhorns to come out and punch BYU in the mouth. That should put the number of wins at 8.
That leaves Baylor, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and UCLA. I think Texas wins at least 2 of these games, though I’m not sure which ones, because honestly, I didn’t expect a team lead by Case McCoy to beat Oklahoma last year. That puts the total number of wins at 10.
Maybe I’m being overoptimistic, but I’ve been impressed by what’s going on with the football team this year. Can’t wait for August 30.
This may not be the best time blog about elections, but I can’t offer any commentary on the issues in Ferguson, MO that hasn’t already been said, so I’ll stick with commenting on elections.
Fair Vote has conducted a study comparing voter error in California’s top-two primary to voter error in California’s ranked choice voting elections. The results of the study show a higher rate of voter error in top-two primary races. Specifically, Fair Vote found that California voters chose more candidates than they could vote for in top-two primaries, also known as overvoting:
They also found a higher number of undervotes, i.e., when voters skip a race, in top-two primaries than in ranked choice elections - suggesting voters are more engaged in ranked choice elections.
Bottom line: of the two systems, ranked choice voting is better.
In other news, two consultants (one Democrat and one Republican) discussed their efforts to aid an independent candidate with the Sacramento Bee.
Living in Texas, I’ve followed - with obvious interest - the reporting regarding the recent fundraising totals in the gubernatorial race. The good news for Wendy Davis: she’s been raising money. The bad news for Davis: it appears she’s overstated how much she raised (Source).
The campaign originally claimed they had $13.1 million cash on hand, but it’s more like $12.8 million. The reason for the drop was Battleground Texas’ numbers (which Davis’ camp is apparently including in their total).
Aside from the discrepancy in claims versus the actual amount on hand, the real problem lies in the fact that she has $500,000 in in-kind contributions, including a $250,000 in-kind for a Willie Nelson concert.
Why is that a problem? Well, because she’s at a 3-1 cash on hand disadvantage, and the in-kind concert isn’t going to help you going to stay up on statewide tv and radio or help you do much of anything else (though I’m sure the concert was awesome - it was Willie after all).
The Texas press hasn’t really been that impressed with Davis’ campaign for things like what’s described above, and apparently neither is the Washington Post's Reid Wilson, who called Davis “the most overrated candidate this cycle.”
Speaking of fundraising, I wonder how much money the President raised while he was in Texas last week (that’s money that is flowing out of state rather than into Wendy Davis’ campaign coffers).